An Early Poll in Minnesota

With all the usual caveats about small differences in these results being within the margin of error, this recent Democratic primary poll of Minnesota voters (from a recent Star Tribune) shows a couple of interesting things:

• First, Elizabeth Warren is popular in Minnesota. She beats both Biden and Sanders. And remember, Sanders won the Minnesota caucuses in 2016, so he's been popular here.
• Amy Klobuchar does well in her own state, mostly by getting more of the undecideds because she's a known name.
• Trump gets 38 or 40 percent against any of the candidates. That's his ceiling, at least assuming people aren't lying to the pollsters.
• People are most undecided about Biden, followed by Sanders. That's really interesting, in the Midwestern sense of the word. Warren does better than Sanders only because she got more of the undecideds, not because she got more of the Trump voters.

Obviously, in these numbers they all beat Trump pretty handily, by a much wider margin than Clinton did in Minnesota in 2016. But taking the undecideds — who become decideds on election day, assuming they vote — into account makes Warren (and Klobuchar) the ones who look the best here.

(Now that I have turned undecideds and decideds into nouns, it is time to stop writing.)