IMHE Looking Ahead to Deaths

Back on July 21, I made this screen snapshot while watching a Rachel Maddow show:


The reason Maddow shared these numbers was that the predictions were made by IMHE, the research institute that used to present rosy predictions that were favored by Mafia Mulligan and his pet epidemiologist, Dr. Deborah Birx.

Some time in May or so, IMHE's predictions — which the institute had always said were premised on a coordinated federal response and cooperation from individual Americans — took a turn for the worse and Mulligan and Birx stopped citing them.

Right now, a week after I made this snapshot, we're already approaching 150,000 deaths. Does it seem likely we will have as few as 175,000 deaths by the end of the year, more than five months from now?

I don't think so.